Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
10 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 1 km from here.
This alert expired on 25 September 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 13 recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 March 2026 — 12 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 25 at 1:30AM MDT until September 25 at 7:30AM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Urban PEI: 1,593,597 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 27 March 2026
- September 25, 2026 · score 46 · 1.2 km
- July 20, 2026 · 8.3 km
- September 23, 2026 · score 46 · 12.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 31.8374, -105.9627 |
| Nearest City | Horizon City (29 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 1.6M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-25T07:30:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.6864be44da3341fa82be71241798b47ff17a7d91.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T07:30:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-25T07:36:30.693Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Otero, NM; El Paso, TX; Hudspeth, TX and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 25 at 1:30AM MDT until September 25 at 7:30AM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-25T07:30:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 7 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6864be44da3341fa82be71241798b47ff17a7d91.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.38875a33294fb86622b68e48cb5dc1c0294d37c7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3aefe820006055cdb30195ec8b8e1c86d0354b9a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3ce41f798139829a69c746ebf4cc5e5ed82e4b04.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a82659549814f8959e8448d0f73c9ee858b4871.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b3a5bac2e6b92fb6e4532cad4fdf575396176fd0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5602168d5e5d2a5a3fc25d60ad61419802bd04cf.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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